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触底反弹?解读大马第二季经济报告

黄锦荣, 拉曼大学商业与金融学院经济系副教授, 拉曼大学

18-Aug-21 06:00

触底反弹?解读大马第二季经济报告

国家银行上周发布最新数据显示,我国今年第二季GDP按年上涨16.1%,远胜市场预期。虽然当季经济受到国内需求改善和出口持续强劲的支撑。但随后我国因为疫情恶化,而退出更严格的封锁措施,导致我国经济第二季比上一季衰退了2%,整体经济增长态势依然不明朗。

同时,国家银行也下修全年经济成长目标,介于3%到4%的区间。而且随着我国接种计划不断加速进行,国行乐观预测,全部州属最快将在10月步入第三阶段的复苏计划,11月步入第四阶段的复苏计划。

对比国行乐观预测,国际市场却不看好我国经济前景。其中,国际评级机构惠誉却在近日大砍我国经济增长目标至零,震惊国内市场人士,忧虑外资恐怕将加速撤离我国,进而对疲蘼的经济局势造成雪上加霜的局面。

本期的嘉宾东姑阿都拉曼大学经济学副教授黄锦荣博士来为解读这份重磅的经济报告,并为我国未来经济展望进行点评。

Produced by: 陈宏耀/谭有胜

Presented by: 陈宏耀/谭有胜


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